The fine wine secondary market is still working through a correction that began in late 2022. Prices declined further throughout the first half of this year, with the Liv-ex 100 index down 5.2%. For investors, this means many blue-chip wines are available at levels not seen for years, yet careful selection matters more than ever.
When choosing fine wines for investment in 2025, the following five criteria should be considered:
These filters reflect a cautious market where ‘selectivity and scarcity’ are driving the handful of winners that still posted gains in H1 2025.
Bordeaux’s share of global trade has shrunk over the past decade – from a once dominant force to now accounting for just over a third of the market by value. It’s also been one of the hardest-hit regions in terms of price performance during the recent downturn. On the surface, that may look like a negative but in reality, it has opened a window of opportunity for new buyers.
The recent correction has created compelling value in back vintages. The long-standing myth that ‘the best Bordeaux to invest in is always the latest release’ has been debunked by recent market behaviour and En Primeur campaigns. In 2025, many of the most sought-after Bordeaux wines for investment were not recent releases but mature, well-stored vintages offering proven quality, established critic scores, and immediate drinkability.
Even the 2024 En Primeur campaign underscored this shift in thinking: while release prices were often cut aggressively to stimulate demand, in many cases, comparable back vintages offered more value for money.
Where to focus
A cyclical downturn, steeper primary price cuts, and abundant back-vintage supply allow building positions in classic names at 2014-era equivalents.
Burgundy, which has fallen 5.8% year-to-date, remains one of the regions most affected by the broader market correction. After leading the charge in the 2020-2022 price surge, it’s now working off those highs, but that’s drawing in patient buyers. Liv-ex recently reported that their Burgundy 150’s bid:offer ratio is climbing as buyers take advantage of softer conditions.
The best opportunities are in domaines with transparent distribution, consistent critic backing, and production levels that support liquidity. The aim isn’t to chase the rarest unicorns with the widest spreads, but to target ageworthy Premiers and Grands Cru wines from established producers – especially where pricing has stabilised.
Where to focus
Tip: Our full list of best-performing Burgundies is updated live on Wine Track – use it to cross-check performance momentum against your shortlist before committing capital.
Italy’s indices have been more resilient than much of the market since 2023, with the Italy 100 showing a ‘tale of two cities’ – some weakness, but better relative performance than Burgundy and Bordeaux in the drawdown. Price discipline at release and broadening global demand help.
Where to focus
For diversification within Italy, combining steady Super Tuscan exposure with carefully chosen Piedmont parcels can balance liquidity with potential upside.
Champagne combines brand prestige with broad global demand, strong critical reputations, and genuine scarcity in top vintages. After more than a year of declines, Champagne’s investment market is showing its first signs of recovery. In June 2025, the Liv-ex Champagne 50 posted its first monthly gain in twelve months, rising 0.8%.
Individual brand performances are another encouraging sign. Across 50 flagship vintages from Dom Pérignon, Cristal, Salon, Krug, and Taittinger Comtes, over 85% have halted their price declines, with most holding steady for at least six months, reaching a classic consolidation phase.
Moreover, demand is back on the rise. Champagne’s market share on Liv-ex has climbed to 12.4% year-to-date, above 2024’s average.
With prices now at more attractive entry points, this could be the first major fine wine region to re-enter growth mode, potentially ahead of Bordeaux, Burgundy, and Italy in the recovery cycle.
Where to focus
For investors seeking diversification with cyclical upside, the signs suggest Champagne may soon be popping again.
Sterling’s strength against the US dollar – at near decade highs – has combined with an 11.4% year-on-year price decline in Californian fine wine to create one of the most attractive buying climates in recent memory for European investors.
Market leaders such as Screaming Eagle, Dominus and Opus One offer strong recovery potential, relative scarcity and top quality. Screaming Eagle’s long-term track record is particularly impressive, with six 100-point vintages in just 13 releases, and index growth of over 200% in the last two decades.
Where to focus
With pricing, currency, and availability aligning, California offers a unique short-term window to secure both blue-chip icons and emerging stars at levels not seen in years.
2005 (Bordeaux & beyond):
Now entering a glorious drinking window for Left Bank and Right Bank; quality is broadly exceptional with structure to age. Availability exists across the spectrum, often at meaningful discounts to 2022 highs. Great for ‘drink or hold’ strategies.
2009 (Bordeaux):
Riper, glamorous wines with huge critical appeal. Prices inflated in prior cycles, but the correction has pruned excess. Choose château by château; prime cellaring histories command premiums, but fair value has returned for top Left Bank and Right Bank bottlings.
2016 (Bordeaux + Italy):
Among the most investable ‘modern classics’. Left Bank 2016 remains a reference point for balance, precision, and longevity; Tuscany 2016 (including Bolgheri) also shines. If you want one core vintage anchor for Bordeaux exposure in 2025, 2016 is the workhorse – especially as prices have softened.
2020 (Burgundy + Tuscany + select Bordeaux):
A high-quality, warm year with strong critic support in many regions. In Burgundy, 2020 reds can be concentrated yet poised; in Tuscany, 2020 offers ripe, polished profiles for Ornellaia and peers. Corrections since 2023 have made select Bordeaux 2020s attractive relative to peak price points.
En Primeur 2024 (context for new allocations):
Not a ‘vintage to chase at any price’, but the pricing is the story: releases down roughly 30% from 2023 at top estates, in several cases the lowest since 2014. If you buy En Primeur in 2025, do it for value vs readily available back vintages and only for estates with a clear historical discount at release.
Several data points contextualise 2025 positioning:
2025 remains a buyers’ market. Liquidity is uneven, but the combination of cheaper Bordeaux, normalised Burgundy, and resilient Super Tuscans offers a compelling entry point. The market correction is still visible in the broader benchmark indices, but the best names at the right vintages and prices are being quietly accumulated again.
View our full Fine Wine Investment Guide.
1) Is fine wine a good investment in 2025?
Yes. 2025 remains a buyer’s market after a multi-year correction. Returns will be driven by selectivity (region/producer/vintage), provenance, and a longer holding period rather than quick flips.
2) Which regions offer the best value right now?
Bordeaux (mature back vintages), Burgundy (disciplined buys; mature whites and select 2019–2020 reds), Italy (Super Tuscans with steady liquidity), Champagne (early stabilisation), and California (GBP strength vs USD creating entry points).
3) How long should I hold investment wine?
Plan for 5-10+ years. Liquidity varies, but blue-chip Bordeaux can require 10-20 years to peak; Super Tuscans and Champagne often realise value earlier. Shorter holds increase friction and pricing risk.
4) What’s the minimum budget to start?
Practically, £5k-£25k builds a diversified starter portfolio.
5) En Primeur or back vintages – which is better in 2025?
Often back vintages: you avoid waiting, see real critic consensus, and can compare prices like-for-like. Buy En Primeur only when the release clearly beats equivalent back vintages.
6) How important is provenance and storage?
Critical. Favour in-bond stock, original cases, full paper trails, professional storage, and inspection photos.
7) How do currency and tariffs affect returns?
FX can add or subtract several percentage points. Tariff and duty regimes differ by route and change over time.
8) How do I manage liquidity?
Diversify across regions and styles and buy wines with established secondary market depth.
Ever since the UK voted to leave the European Union in 2016, trade talks and negotiations between the two sides had been full of uncertainty, posturing and brinkmanship which at times made it feel like a deal was unobtainable. So, the news that a trade deal – now ratified by the UK Parliament - had been struck on Christmas Eve last year was met with welcome relief across all industry sectors on both sides of the Channel and especially by those looking to invest in wine.
1. The costly VI-1 import documentation for UK and EU wines is no longer going to be introduced in July as previously planned. Taking its place will be a straightforward Wine Import Certificate which asks for basic producer and product information. This means far less admin and fees for wine importers, which in turn means no extra costs will be passed on to customers.
2. Crucially, wines will not have to undergo lab assessment for the new Wine Import Certificate. Submitting wines for lab analysis would have caused backlogs of wines which would have created frustrating shipment delays.
3. While UK wine importers are going to have to get to grips with new processes and forms over the coming months, this is just part of the anticipated bedding-in period which will become second nature as time goes on and as new processes are established.
With the previous uncertainty around Brexit having disappeared with the end of the transition period and with 2021 looking to mirror previous years of healthy returns for fine wine, contact us to speak to one of our advisors about creating your portfolio to invest in wine.
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T: UK +44 207 060 7500 | T: US +1 310 310 7610 | hello@winecap.com
Registered Office: WineCap Limited, Salisbury House, London, United Kingdom, EC2M 5SQ
WineCap Limited | Company No. 08480079 | VAT No. GB174 8533 80 | AWRS No. XCAW00000119418 | WOWGR: GBOG174853300
Copyright © 2025 WineCap Limited